Democratic presidential challenger Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by a solid margin in Wisconsin and maintains a narrower advantage in Pennsylvania with just over a week until Election Day, Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls showed on Monday.
Reuters/Ipsos is polling likely voters in six states - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona - that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him.
Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters/Ipsos findings, based on the online responses of likely voters, which include responses from some who cast ballots ahead of the formal Nov. 3 Election Day. Early voting has shot to record levels amid the coronavirus pandemic:
WISCONSIN (October 20 - October 26):
* Voting for Biden: 53 per cent
* Voting for Trump: 44 per cent
* Biden’s advantage is marginally wider than his 51pc-43pc lead the prior week.
* 33 per cent said they already had voted.
* 52 per cent said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38 per cent said Trump would be better.
* 47 per cent said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.
PENNSYLVANIA (October 20 - October 26):
* Voting for Biden: 50 per cent
* Voting for Trump: 45 per cent
* Biden’s lead is marginally wider than in the prior week when he was up 49pc-45pc, an advantage that was on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
* 21 per cent said they already had voted.
* 50 per cent said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42 per cent said Trump would be better.
* 50 per cent said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43 per cent said Biden would be better.
FLORIDA (October 14 - October 20)
* Voting for Biden: 50 per cent
* Voting for Trump: 46 per cent
* Biden’s apparent lead is on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
* Prior poll showed the two essentially even, with Biden at 49 per cent and Trump at 47 per cent.
* 21 per cent said they already had voted.
* 50 per cent said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42 per cent said Trump would be better.
* 51 per cent said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45 per cent said Biden would be better.
ARIZONA (October 14 - October 21):
* Voting for Biden: 49 per cent
* Voting for Trump: 46 per cent
* With the margin within the survey’s credibility interval, the race is statistically tied.
* Prior poll showed Biden with a 50pc-46pc lead that was on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval.
* 27 per cent said they already had voted.
* 49 per cent said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 43 per cent said Trump would be better.
* 48 per cent said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45 per cent said Biden would be better.
MICHIGAN (October 14 - October 20):
* Voting for Biden: 51 per cent
* Voting for Trump: 44 per cent
* Biden was up 51pc-43pc the prior week.
* 28 per cent said they already had voted.
* 52 per cent said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40 per cent said Trump would be better.
* 48 per cent said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45 per cent said Biden would be better.
NORTH CAROLINA (October 14 - October 20):
* Voting for Biden: 49p er cent
* Voting for Trump: 46 per cent
* Since the margin is within the poll’s credibility interval, the race is statistically tied, as it was in the prior poll when Biden had 48 per cent to Trump’s 47 per cent.
* 18 per cent said they already had voted.
* 49 per cent said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 45 per cent said Trump would be better.
* 51 per cent said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43 per cent said Biden would be better.
Notes
The Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls are conducted online in all six states in English, as well as in Spanish in Arizona and Florida.
* In Wisconsin, from October 20 to October 26, it gathered responses from 1,008 adults, including 664 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
* In Pennsylvania, from October 20 to October 26, it gathered responses from 1,001 adults, including 653 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
* In Florida, from October 14 to October 20, it gathered responses from 1,005 adults, including 662 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
* In Arizona, from October 14 to October 21, it gathered responses from 951 adults, including 658 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
* In Michigan, from October 14 to October 20, it gathered responses from 1,001 adults, including 686 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
* In North Carolina, from October 14 to October 20, it gathered responses from 1,001 adults, including 660 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.
