Oil rises as Russian gas cut to Europe may encourage switching to crude


FE ONLINE DESK | Published: July 26, 2022 11:26:55 | Updated: July 27, 2022 20:09:11


Oil rises as Russian gas cut to Europe may encourage switching to crude

Oil rose on Tuesday on expectations Russia's reduction in natural gas supply to Europe could encourage a switch to crude, though concerns over weakening fuel demand because of an expected increase in US interest rates limited gains.

Brent crude futures for September settlement climbed 45 cents, or 0.4 per cent, to $105.60 a barrel by 0112 GMT, following a 1.9 per cent gain in the previous day, reports Reuters.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for September delivery increased 34 cents, or 0.4 per cent, to $97.04 a barrel, having gained 2.1 per cent on Monday.

Russia tightened its gas squeeze on Europe on Monday as Gazprom said supplies through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline to Germany would drop to just 20 per cent of capacity.

Russia's cut in supplies will leave countries unable to meet its goals to refill natural gas storage ahead of the winter demand period. Germany, Europe's biggest economy, faces potentially rationing gas to industry to keep its citizens warm during the winter months.

"Higher gas prices, triggered by Russia's gas squeeze, could lead to additional switching to crude from gas and support oil prices," said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, general manager of research at Nissan Securities.

"But a tug-of-war between concerns about weakening demand due to the economic slowdown amid rising U.S. interest rates and fears of supply risk because of prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict will likely to continue for some time," he said, predicting WTI to remain in a trading range centred on $100 a barrel.

The US central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates by 75 basis points at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Wednesday. A hike of that magnitude would effectively close out pandemic-era support for the economy.

The gap between Brent and WTI has widened to levels not seen since June 2019 as easing gasoline demand in the United States weighs on US crude while tight supply supports the international Brent benchmark.

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